Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.004656 0.005154 0.005670 0.006244 0.006863 0.007510 0.008235
2025-01-12 0.003776 0.004471 0.005228 0.006112 0.007112 0.008202 0.009478
2025-01-19 0.003278 0.004079 0.004984 0.006077 0.007353 0.008787 0.010513
2025-01-26 0.002872 0.003732 0.004736 0.005984 0.007481 0.009206 0.011329
2025-02-02 0.002584 0.003489 0.004577 0.005965 0.007668 0.009673 0.012188
2025-02-09 0.002336 0.003271 0.004425 0.005931 0.007819 0.010082 0.012971
2025-02-16 0.002202 0.003183 0.004421 0.006069 0.008173 0.010735 0.014053
2025-02-23 0.001995 0.002981 0.004256 0.005989 0.008242 0.011030 0.014691
2025-03-02 0.001849 0.002848 0.004170 0.005999 0.008418 0.011452 0.015489
2025-03-09 0.001792 0.002833 0.004235 0.006206 0.008848 0.012201 0.016709
2025-03-16 0.001692 0.002750 0.004201 0.006276 0.009095 0.012717 0.017636
2025-03-23 0.001622 0.002703 0.004213 0.006404 0.009419 0.013334 0.018702
2025-03-30 0.001560 0.002667 0.004242 0.006561 0.009792 0.014034 0.019903
2025-04-06 0.001409 0.002488 0.004058 0.006412 0.009743 0.014172 0.020369
2025-04-13 0.001305 0.002374 0.003959 0.006376 0.009844 0.014507 0.021097
2025-04-20 0.001194 0.002239 0.003823 0.006279 0.009852 0.014713 0.021651
2025-04-27 0.001113 0.002146 0.003744 0.006259 0.009966 0.015061 0.022399
2025-05-04 0.001034 0.002053 0.003658 0.006224 0.010053 0.015371 0.023096
2025-05-11 0.001002 0.002036 0.003691 0.006367 0.010402 0.016049 0.024307
2025-05-18 0.000923 0.001932 0.003579 0.006284 0.010413 0.016252 0.024862
2025-05-25 0.000870 0.001869 0.003530 0.006295 0.010562 0.016648 0.025690
2025-06-01 0.000861 0.001886 0.003610 0.006510 0.011019 0.017492 0.027158
2025-06-08 0.000824 0.001849 0.003601 0.006582 0.011262 0.018030 0.028201